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FadeTheButcher
12-28-2004, 08:27 PM
Here is an excerpt from an interesting new book I am reading.

Prologue

Hail, Caeser!

Under the bright but chilly late winter Egyptian sunshine, an American vessel of war served as the stage for a show probably unique in the annals of the U.S. Navy. The Yalta Conference waas just over and the USS Quincy, which had transported President Franklin D. Roosevelt as far as Malta (from where he had flown to the Soviet Union), had steamed to the Suez Canal and dropped anchor in the Great Bitter Lake, an inland sea about two-thirds of the distance down the waterway. There, on February 20, 1945, President Roosevelt came aboard again.

With the conference at Yalta concluded -- Roosevelt, Churchill, and Stalin had met to determine the shape of the postwar world -- FDR had ridden by car to Sevastopol and toured the battlefield where in the 1850s Great Britain and France had defeated czarist Russia in the Crimean War. Then he had flown to an Egyptian airfield near Ismailia, just west of the canal. Thereupon he had been carried aboard the Quincy and prepared to meet the local satraps.

The word satrap hs a long and telling history. We find its origin in the Old Persian khshathrapavan, meaning "protector of the country." At some point, perhaps during the Athenian efforts to fend off the Persian Empire, the word entered into Greek. The imperial Romans picked it up, spelling it satrapes. Passing eventually into English, it signified a subordinate ruler. In the course of its evolution, "satrap" came to conjure up a picture of local leaders bowing, scraping, even performing the kowtow before the throne of the emperor. So it was aboard the Quincy during the morning of February 20, 1945.

Draping a large black cape over Roosevelt's shoulders, naval aides wheeled him up to the forward gun deck. There he was lifted onto an ornate armchair, his throne.

The first of the satraps was the young Egyptian king Farouk. He had been a British creation, the puppet ruler of an Egypt that had long been a British protectorate (meaning an informal colony), and he had survived in his position for one reason: he had kept order on behalf of the British Empire. But now, his playboy's corpulence bulging against the brass buttons of his British-style admiral's uniform, he was paying homage to a new emperor, President Roosevelt. FDR gave him a twin-motored transport plane and urged him to plant more rice.

The next supplicant was Haile Selassie, the king of Ethiopia. Back in the 1930s, Italy's Benito Mussolini had shocked the world by invading the East African country, but the Ethiopians had fought his forces to a standstill; during World War II, the British had driven the Italians out altogether. Ethiopia thereafter had seemed on the verge of succumbing to British influence. Yet here was the Ethiopian monarch, a small, dignified, black-bearded man in a cap and an oversized British-issue greatcoat, also placing himself at Roosevelt's disposal. He got four reconnaisance vehicles.

Finally came King Ibn Saud of Saudi Arabia: tall, with a dark goatee and flowing white robes. His was the best part of the pageant. From his palace in Riyadh, which contained both the traditional harem of Islam and the only electric elevator on the Arabian peninsula, he had traveld by motor convoy southwestward to Jidda, on the Red Sea. Once his yacht reached the Suez Canal, seaman aboard the Quincy had made special arrangements to keep him comfortable. Dozens of thick carpets had been spread on the foredeck and a royal tent had been set up for the king to sleep in.

The king showed up with a retinue of relatives, guards, valets, food tasters, and servers of ceremonial coffee. Soon he invited the officers of the Quincy to a banquet held in the approved Arab fashion, with all sitting cross-legged and eating rice pilaf and broiled lamb kebab with their fingers.

While Ibn Saud was on board the ship, Anna Roosevelt Boettiger, the president's daughter who had accompanied her father to Yalta, kept out of sight. The Saudi king, FDR had told her, on such occasions would not allow women in his presence. "By the way," he had added, "those women he does see, he confiscates."

What did Ibn Saud really want? After Farouk and Haile Selassie had backed away from Roosevelt's presence, the answer became clear. While Arab guards, colorfully garbed and armed with daggers and rifles, stood about the deck, the Saudi king approached the American president. To maintain his power on the Arabian peninsula, he explained, he needed modern weapons.

Roosevelt listened carefully, then proffered a deal. The United States would extend military aid to Saudi Arabia and even pay Ibn Saud's bills; the assistance would be part of the Lend-Lease program.

In return the United States, before the war only a minor presence along the Persian Gulf, would get full drilling rights in Saudi fields. America would replace Great Britain as controller of Saudi oil.

Not until the last day of the Yalta Conference had Roosevelt said anything to Churchill about his impending visit with King Ibn Saud. According to Col. William Eddy, the American minister to Saudi Arabia and the official who set up the meeting aboard the Quincy, Churchill was "thoroughly nettled" and "burned up the wires of all his diplomats" with orders to arrange a similar conference. Indeed, after a brief stopover in Greece, hoping to soothe anti-British sentiment there -- Greece traditionally also had been a British protectorate -- he hurried to meet with Ibn Saud. But Churchill had come too late and had too little to offer: Britain was broke.

Churchill returned to London empty-handed. In one corner of the world, the Pax Britannica had been replaced by the Pax Americana.

I came across this episode, reported in the New York Times on February 21, 1945, while looking through old newspaper microfilms. At the time, I was doing research for a book on World War II in Asia and the Pacific, and my thoughts were far from any goings-on in the Middle East. But in the course of that work I came across evidence in the Public Record Office in London showing that at the end of the war the State Department went all out to keep British firms from returning to their prewar preeminence in the China market; that market, real or supposed, was to be an American preserve. (The Communists, of course, had other ideas.)

While in London, I also learned that in 1942 Churchill lashed out at Harry Hopkins, FDR's special emissary, with a "string of cuss words far into the early hours of the night." Hopkins sin was that he was relaying Roosevelt's demand that the British leave India.

A kind review of my book in the Toronto Globe and Mail led to a visit to that city. After I gave a lecture, the reviewer (a historian at Trinity College of the University of Toronto), several of his colleagues, and I sat around a fire in the common room. The talk turned to FDR. Did you know, one asked me, that in 1939 the president extended the Monroe Doctrine to Canada? I checked: he did.

Enunciated by President James Monroe in 1823, the doctrine had stated that the "American continents are henceforth not to be considered as subjects for future colonization by any European power." The implication had been that the United States would protect Central and South America from European aggression. Now, in 1939, Roosevelt was assuming Great Britain's long-standing role as the protector of Canada.

A similar matter came to my attention. In 1941, the prime minister of Australia, like Canada a British dominion, encamped for six months not in London but rather in Washington, looking for protection against Japan.

So, almost by incident, I had a little list: Saudi Arabia, China, India, Canada, and Australia. A pattern was emerging. In each case, in the era of World War II, in theater after theater, Uncle Sam was replacing John Bull.

How far-reaching was this pattern? What was its origins? What were its consequences?

These questions led me back to the start of World War I, when Winston S. Churchill was the first lord of the admirality and Franklin D. Roosevelt was assistant secretary of the navy; and they led me forward to the end of World War II, when Churchill was out of office and Roosevelt was dead. At the beginning of that period, when they first met in London, Churchill sneered at Roosevelt as an upstart and an underling (at least this was FDR's recollection, expressed in 1939 to Ambassador Joseph P. Kennedy); by its end, after a long series of wartime summit conferences, Churchill to all intents and purposes was Roosevelt's humble servant.

The turnabout in their personal roles, however, reflected something much broader, a great transformation of twentieth-century international relations. In 1914, at the beginning of World War I, the globe was Europe-centered, Britain-protected, and London-financed. In 1945, at the end of World War II, the globe was North America-centered, United States-protected, and New York-financed. The British Empire was in its death throes, and the American empire was very much alive.

The international changing of the guard, to be sure, was not just the result of the Roosevelt-Churchill story. Broad historical forces had been at work, and the British government in the two world wars had made decisions that had virtually eliminated its power abroad. Nevertheless, the emergence of the American empire has been the central feature of world affairs since 1945, and nothing illustrates the transference of power more vividly than the turbulent friendship of Roosevelt and Churchill.

Before we proceed, however, we need take up a crucial question: is there an American empire?

It is probably our most cherished item of national faith that the United States is not an imperial power. Empire, after all, is for those others, the French and the Belgians with their steaming tropical domains; the Axis power and theri brutal conquests; the Soviet Union imposing its system on a host of enslaved nations; and, above all, the British and the sloptches of red that on old maps and globes used to highlight the colonies on which the sun never set. America, we are convinced, possesses no such empire.

Yet when we say "empire," the principal example we have in mind is the British, and the British Empire was always more than the sum of its formal colonies. It embraced also a host of protectorates, especially along the sealanes between India and Gibralter; its investments underwrote the economies of Asia, Africa, and the Americas; the Royal Navy ruled the waves, and, combined with the British army, carried out the highest goal of Victorian foreign policy, the containment of Russia.

And America? America most certainly possesses de facto colonies. What lese are Puerto Rico, Guantanamo, Grenada, Guam, and Okinawa, and the military bases that encircle the globe from the North Pacific to the North Atlantic? In number, furthermore, America's protectorates -- Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, the Phillippines, Thailand, Pakistan, the emirates of the Persian Gulf, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Bosnia, and all the members, old and new, of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization -- far exceed those of the Pax Britannica. American investments, private and public, cover the earth. The American military rules not only the waves but also the rocks and rills, deserts and forests, and much of both hemispheres besides. In containing Russia (the British called it the Great Game; the Americans termed it the Cold War), the United States took up where Great Britain left off. America is the very model of a major modern empire.

But how did the American empire, a fait accompli if there ever was one, come to exist? The answer begins with the raising of the curtain on the drama that Churchill called the Thirty Years' War: the British decision, early in August 1914, to intervene in the war that was getting underway on the European continent and that would not end until the spring of 1945.

In A Coffin for Dimitrios, the English novelist Eric Ambler wrote: "The situation in which a person, imagining fondly that he is in charge of his own destiny, is, in fact, the sport of circumstances beyond his control, is always fascinating. It is the essential element in most good drama."

In early August 1914, the sea lords of Britannia succumbed to such an illusion of control. Three decades later, as Roosevelt had wanted, the United States of America stood in Great Britain's place.

Dan Dare
12-28-2004, 08:54 PM
The Empire Slinks Back (http://www.nytimes.com/2003/04/27/magazine/27EMPIRE.html )


Niall Ferguson


Wheresoever the Roman conquers, he inhabits.
-- Seneca
.....
Well, ... will it whet their appetites for an empire in the British mode? Only, I think, if Americans radically rethink their attitude to the world beyond their borders. Until there are more Americans not just willing but eager to shoulder the ''nation-builder's burden,'' adventures like the current occupation of Iraq will lack a vital ingredient. For the lesson of Britain's imperial experience is clear: you simply cannot have an empire without imperialists -- out there, on the spot -- to run it.
...
Today, the same fiction that underpinned American strategy in Vietnam -- that the United States was not trying to resurrect French colonial rule in Indochina -- is peddled in Washington to rationalize what is going on in Iraq. Sure, it may look like the resurrection of British colonial rule in Iraq, but honestly, all we want to do is give the Iraqi people democracy and then go home.

So long as the American empire dare not speak its own name -- so long as it continues this tradition of organized hypocrisy -- today's ambitious young men and women will take one look at the prospects for postwar Iraq and say with one voice, ''Don't even go there.''
Americans need to go there. If the best and brightest insist on staying home, today's unspoken imperial project may end -- unspeakably -- tomorrow.

......

Niall Ferguson is Herzog professor of financial history at the Stern School of Business, New York University, and a senior research fellow of Jesus College, Oxford. He is the author of ''Empire: The Rise and Demise of the British World Order and the Lessons for Global Power.''

*************

Well Fade, are you up for it? :D

FadeTheButcher
12-28-2004, 08:58 PM
I have Niall Ferguson's Colossus: The Price of America's Empire right here. I also have Andrew J. Bacevich's American Empire: The Realities and Consequences of US Diplomacy.

FadeTheButcher
12-28-2004, 09:01 PM
The American Empire is already in its last days. That's actually good news. Major changes are on the horizon:

Coming geopolitical quakes

http://www.washtimes.com/commentary/20041214-090259-5700r.htm

The world can now count on one geopolitical earthquake every 10 years. Between 1985 and 1995, it was the fall of the Berlin Wall, the implosion of the Soviet Union, the collapse of communist parties the world over, and America's emergence as the world's only superpower.

Between 1995 and 2005, it was the September 11, 2001, attacks against the World Trade Center and the Pentagon that triggered a war on, and the defeat of, Afghanistan's despotic Taliban regime followed by a war on, and the defeat of, Saddam Hussein's bloody tyranny. So between 2005 and 2015, what's on the global menu?

Movers and shakers as well as long-range thinkers and planners meet in a wide variety of intelligence and think-tank huddles. These over-the-horizon, out-of-the-box appraisals range from good news scenarios (the minority) to the kind of global unraveling funk whose only antidote would be a desert island.

Behind all the geopolitical jargon about the "functioning core of globalization," "system perturbations," and "dialectics of transformation," there is the underlying fear of a Vietnamlike debacle in Iraq that would drive the U.S. into isolationism — a sort of globalization in reverse.

Among the most interesting and optimistic librettos in the game of nations is peace in the Middle East made possible by a deal with Iran. Keeping this kind of negotiation with the ayatollahs secret in the age of the Internet and 4 million bloggers taxes credulity. It would also take a Henry Kissinger or a Zbigniew Brzezinski to pull it off. However, if successful, it would look something like this:

• A nuclear Iran removed from the "axis of evil," and recognized as the principal player in the region, is the quid.

• For the quo, Iran recognized Israel and the two-state solution of a "viable" Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza.

• Iran ends all support for terrorist activities against Israel. Iran-supplied and -funded Hezbollah disarms and confines its activities to the political and economic arena in Lebanon.

In reality, Iran is automatically the region's dominant power after U.S. armed forces withdraw from Iraq. The Shi'ite side of Islam, long the persecuted majority in Iraq, will emerge victorious in forthcoming free national elections. A minimum of 1 million Iranians have moved into Iraq since Operation Iraqi Freedom 2 1/2 years ago. The Iran-Iraq border is porous, mountainous, largely unguarded and no one has even an approximate count. The Jordanian intelligence service believes the Iranian influx into Iraq could be as high as 3 million.

In Syria, the Alawi regime, in power since 1970, is also a Shi'ite sect of Islam. In Lebanese politics, the Hezbollah Party is a Shi'ite movement. The oil fields of Saudi Arabia are in the kingdom's eastern province where Shi'ites are the majority — and Iran is a hop, skip and jump away.

One all-too-realistic geopolitical nightmare was a weapon of mass destruction terrorist attack on the U.S. West Coast. A nuclear device detonates in a container ship about to enter Long Beach, Calif. News had just broken about pollution of the U.S. food supply, most analysts assumed by transnational terrorism. The U.S. can prevail conventionally anywhere but seems helpless in coping with asymmetrical warfare.

In quick succession:

• The dollar ceases to be the world's reserve currency.

• The shaky coalition governing Iraq collapses and civil war breaks out between Sunnis and Shi'ites.

• Fear of the unknown produces a new consensus in the U.S. that global civilization is no longer America's business.

• The U.S. debate shifts to adequate city perimeter defenses.

• With the U.S. no longer the global cop, the defense budget of almost half a trillion dollars can be drastically pruned and savings transferred to homeland security.

• U.S. client states are informed they are on their own. Congress abolishes global aid.

• Egypt loses its annual stipend of $2.5 billion; Taiwan and Israel are told they will must fend for themselves.

• Social trust becomes the new glue of society — bonding with like-minded neighbors with shared values.

• International coalitions dissolve and new ones emerge. China seizes new opportunities for its short- and long-range needs for raw materials in the developing world — from Brazil to sub-Saharan Africa's pockets of mineral wealth.

• The United States, Canada and Mexico form a new stand-alone alliance with Britain.

• Turkey, Israel and Iran become a new self-protection core against dysfunctional neighbors with no upward mobility.

• The European Union and Russia, in continuing decline, close ranks; EU inherits de facto responsibility for Africa south of the Sahara, plagued by genocidal wars and the AIDS epidemic.

• China and India, with one-third of the world's population, and competitive with Western countries in high-tech jobs and technology, form a de facto alliance.

• Pakistan's pro-American President Pervez Musharraf does not survive the ninth assassination plot; an Islamist general takes over and appoints A.Q. Khan, former chief executive of an international nuclear black market for the benefit of America's "axis of evil" enemies, as Pakistan's new president.

• The House of Saud is shaken to its foundations as a clutch of younger royal princes, who have served in the armed forces, arrest the plus 70-year-olds now in charge — known as the Sudairi seven — and call for the kingdom's first elections.

• Osama bin Laden returns to Saudi Arabia and is welcomed as a national hero. Bin Laden scores an overwhelming plurality in the elections and is the country's most popular leader.

• A.Q. Khan sends bin Laden his congratulations and dispatches to Riyadh his new defense minister, Gen. Hamid Gul, a former intelligence chief and admirer of the world's most wanted terrorist, who hates America with a passion. His mission is to negotiate a caliphate merging Pakistan's nuclear weapons with Saudi oil resources and monetary reserves.

• Northern Nigeria petitions Islamabad and Riyadh to be considered as a member of the caliphate.

• Absent the long-time global cop, and traditional alliances in shambles, transnational criminal enterprises thrive with unfettered access the world over.

• U.S. multinational companies, unable to protect their plants and employees, return whence they came.

• International airlines morph back into interregional air links.

• Switzerland, a small defensive country with compulsory military service, is in vogue again; larger countries with several ethnic groups begin breaking apart a la Yugoslavia.

• Goods stamped "Made in China. Secured in Singapore" are back in business, smuggled into the United States.

• The EU can no longer cope with millions of North Africans and sub-Sahara Africans flooding into Spain, Italy, France, who roam freely and hungry in the rest of Europe. Islamist radicals sally out of their European slum tenements to besiege U.S. Embassies in protest of their jobless plight.

• Japan goes nuclear after U.S. troops withdraw from South Korea.

A slight detour from this global ship o' fools imaginary cruise had Pakistan and India, no longer restrained by the United States, miscalculating and exchanging a nuclear salvo over Kashmir. A billion Indians survive. A city disappears, Islamabad. Pakistan, part of India prior to independence in 1947, collapses as a unitary state and becomes part of India again.

To be warned is forewarned. Short of WMD terrorism, the intelligence insiders are concerned about implosions in the former Soviet Muslim republics. They also say there is no more important objective for the Bush administration than repairing transatlantic relations. Chris Patten, the EU's outgoing foreign minister says, "The world deserves better than testosterone on one side and superciliousness on the other."

Sulla the Dictator
12-29-2004, 06:36 AM
Without the overwhelming power of the United States military keeping a semblance of peace in the world, Europe can kiss its bloated social spending goodbye.

cerberus
12-31-2004, 04:02 AM
This is not without a grain of truth.
Land forces GB- under investment and cut backs have become a way of life.
Europe is very dependent on the USA .
America does need a decent President , please try and get it right next time around. ( And I don't mean to sound ignorant but his re election was bitterly disappointing).

otto_von_bismarck
12-31-2004, 04:06 AM
This is not without a grain of truth.
Land forces GB- under investment and cut backs have become a way of life.
Europe is very dependent on the USA .
America does need a decent President , please try and get it right next time around. ( And I don't mean to sound ignorant but his re election was bitterly disappointing).Please explain why would Kerry have been any better?

One great thing about Bush being elected is a lot of the most obnoxious liberals are fleeing the country.

Dan Dare
12-31-2004, 08:05 AM
...Europe is very dependent on the USA .
...

For what, exactly?